Fifteen years ago, Peter Bernstein, the late New York economist and historian, wrote a thoughtful book on probability theory, Against the Gods. It argues that one of the key issues that distinguishes modern societies from pre-modern societies is how people conceive risk.
15年前,紐約已故經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家和歷史學(xué)家彼得?伯恩斯坦(Peter Bernstein)曾就概率論寫下了一本發(fā)人深省的著作——《與天為敵》(Against the Gods)。伯恩斯坦在書中表示,區(qū)分現(xiàn)代社會(huì)與前現(xiàn)代社會(huì)的一個(gè)關(guān)鍵是:人們?nèi)绾慰创L(fēng)險(xiǎn)。
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