“Grey gloom” is not the front-page headline many Britons would have wanted to read at the start of the new year. But the phrase sums up the economic mood according to the Financial Times’s annual survey of economists. It is easy to see why. The UK economy shrank in the third quarter of last year, putting it on the cusp of a recession. It is expected to grow by about half a per cent in both 2023 and 2024 as the impact of high interest rates and elevated price levels squeeze households and businesses.
“愁云慘淡”(Grey gloom)絕非許多英國人在新年開頭想要看到的頭版頭條。但從英國《金融時報》對經濟學家們所做的年度調查來看,這個詞語恰好概括了當下的經濟環境。原因是顯而易見的。英國經濟在去年第三季度出現萎縮,已到了衰退邊緣。鑒于高利率和高物價的影響給家庭和企業帶來了壓力,據預計2023年和2024年的經濟增長率均為0.5%左右。