“Goodbye G7, hello G20.” That was the headline on an article in The Economist on the first summit of the Group of 20 in Washington in 2008 which argued that this represented “a decisive shift in the old order”. Today, hopes of a co-operative global economic order, which reached their zenith at the G20’s London summit of April 2009, have evaporated. Yet it is hardly a case of “Goodbye G20, hello G7”. The earlier world of G7 domination is even more remote than that of G20 co-operation. Neither global co-operation nor western domination look feasible. What might follow? Alas, “division” might be one answer and “anarchy” another.
“再見G7，你好G20”——這是《經濟學人》(The Economist) 2008年一篇關于在華盛頓舉行的20國集團(G20)首次峰會的文章標題，該文認為那次峰會代表著“舊秩序的決定性轉變”。2009年4月在倫敦舉行的20國集團峰會上，建立一個合作的全球經濟秩序的希望達到了頂峰。如今這種希望已煙消云散。然而，這也不是“再見G20，你好G7”的局面。七國集團(G7)主導的早期世界甚至比20國集團合作的世界更加遙遠。全球合作和西方主導看起來都不可行。那么接下來會發生什么呢？可惜，“分裂”和“無政府狀態”都是可能的答案。