A few weeks ago, the Fulcrum nowcasts identified a sudden slowdown in economic activity in the eurozone, Japan and the UK. At the time, the soft patch seemed to be focused mainly on the eurozone, where extreme cold weather might have been partly responsible. With the US and China showing no signs of weakness, the slowdown was still a fairly localised phenomenon.
幾周前,支點資產管理公司(Fulcrum)的“即時預測”(nowcast)顯示,歐元區、日本和英國經濟活動突然放緩。同時,疲軟似乎主要集中在歐元區,極度嚴寒的天氣可能是一個原因。美國和中國沒有顯示出疲弱跡象,經濟放緩仍是一種相當局部的現象。
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