What does the spread of street protests across Iran mean for the oil market? The immediate response, driven no doubt by the substantial amounts of speculative money that are in play, is likely to be an upward spike. But although the troubles are serious and fuelled by real hardship in a struggling economy, there is no objective justification for any increase. If anything, the demonstrations can be seen as the prelude to a fall in prices.
街頭抗議在伊朗各地蔓延對石油市場來說意味著什么?毫無疑問,由于大量投機資金的作用,最直接的反應可能是油價上漲。但是,盡管目前的問題很嚴重,且處于困境中的伊朗經濟存在實實在在的困難、使得境況愈發嚴峻,但并沒有客觀理由來支撐油價上漲。真要說的話,示威活動倒可以被視為油價下跌的前奏。
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