The recent upturn in Asian economies is creating a dangerous optimism that almost willfully ignores the difficulties ahead. Future historians will mark 2008 as the year that the development model that has driven much of Asia's rapid growth for the past two decades went bankrupt. While, the next decade will represent a difficult transition towards a new development model, unfortunately many Asian countries are responding to the economic crisis with policies that may temporarily boost growth but that are only likely to make the transition more difficult.
亞洲經(jīng)濟近來的好轉(zhuǎn)，正催生出一種危險的樂觀情緒，幾乎是在蓄意漠視今后的困難。未來的歷史學(xué)家將把2008年作為亞洲發(fā)展模式破產(chǎn)的標(biāo)志性年份。過去20年間，這種模式為亞洲經(jīng)濟的迅速增長提供了主要動力。而未來10年，將迎來通往新發(fā)展模式的艱難轉(zhuǎn)型期。不幸的是，許多亞洲國家正在施行的危機應(yīng)對政策，雖然可能暫時推動增長，卻只會加大轉(zhuǎn)型的難度。