Donald Trump’s “America first” trade policy, which has shattered the mould of Washington’s international economic relations, will be a ballot issue when Americans go to the polls for the midterm elections on November 6.
Conclusions will be drawn inside the White House about the political effectiveness of Mr Trump’s tariffs battle with China, his deal with Canada and Mexico to revamp Nafta, and his talks with the EU and Japan. Here are three possible scenarios I have picked out for the post-midterm world of US trade policy.
1. Trump loses and backs down
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