The imminent death of Moore’s Law, which describes the main force behind long-running performance improvements in semiconductors, has frequently been predicted.
But according to Bill Chappell, chief microelectronics expert at Darpa, the US defence department’s research arm, the idea “died a decade ago”.
The US chip industry is now starting to face up to an uncomfortable reality. The dependable gains in chip performance that have long underpinned the industry’s growth — and supplied the computing power to open up new tech markets — have been weakening for some time.
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