The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries has lowered its long-term estimates for oil demand but says $10tn of investment will still be needed between now and 2040 to cover future needs and prevent a spike in prices.
The forecasts, contained in the group’s World Oil Outlook, highlight the delicate balancing act facing Opec and its most powerful member Saudi Arabia as it persists with a strategy that puts long-term exports and market share over short-term financial gain.
Lower spending by major companies and oil prices at below $40 a barrel for a prolonged period could have an impact on future oil supplies and lead to a surge in prices.
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