The American economist Robert Shiller successfully called the peak of the economy boom. Irrational Exuberance, published in 2000, became a best seller. Prof Shiller has done more than any other mainstream economist to emphasise how psychology influences markets. Early in his career he demonstrated that fluctuations in asset prices are far larger than can be explained by economic, or any other, concept of rational behaviour.
美國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家羅伯特?希勒(Robert Shiller)成功預(yù)見(jiàn)到了經(jīng)濟(jì)繁榮的頂峰。2000年出版的《非理性繁榮》(Irrational Exuberance)成為暢銷(xiāo)書(shū)。希勒比任何一位主流經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家都更強(qiáng)調(diào)心理對(duì)市場(chǎng)的影響。他在職業(yè)生涯早期就已證明，資產(chǎn)價(jià)格的波動(dòng)遠(yuǎn)非經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)或其他任何學(xué)科的理性行為概念可以解釋得了的。
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