Since the second world war, the US economy has suffered a double-dip recession only once before. But that was in 1980-82, when Paul Volcker jacked up interest rates to 19 per cent, a repeat of which is hardly likely now. Meanwhile, the latest US jobs numbers suggest unemployment may be stabilising – albeit at a 26-year high of almost 10 per cent. Another place to see if the US economy might be picking up is in its factories.
自二戰以來,美國經濟只遭遇過一次“雙底”型衰退(double-dip recession),但那是在1980年至1982年期間,當時的美聯儲主席保羅?沃克爾(Paul Volcker)將利率上調至19%,如今要讓歷史重演已不大可能。同時,美國最新就業數據顯示,失業率可能正在企穩,不過仍處于近10%的26年高點。考量美國經濟是否正在提速的另一個領域是制造業。
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