Having just read the chapter on game theory in your book, The Undercover Economist, I discovered that Michael Jackson fans (circa 800,000 of them) are being offered the chance to receive their concert tickets as a memento, in place of a refund. I presume the future value of any one ticket will depend almost exclusively on the choices of the other 799,999 fans. To the non-nostalgic fan, who wishes only to see the best financial outcome, what would be your advice based on a game theory analysis?
Patrick Hudson
剛看完你在《臥底經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家》(The Undercover Economist)一書中所寫的有關(guān)博弈論的章節(jié)，我就發(fā)現(xiàn)，邁克爾?杰克遜(Michael Jackson)的歌迷們有機(jī)會(huì)獲得作為紀(jì)念品的演唱會(huì)門票，來(lái)代退款。我認(rèn)為，任何一張門票的未來(lái)價(jià)值幾乎完全取決于其他799999位歌迷的選擇。對(duì)于一個(gè)并不懷舊、只希望看到最佳財(cái)務(wù)結(jié)果的歌迷，按照博弈論的分析，你會(huì)給出什么樣的建議？