Elevated inflation will compel the Federal Reserve to raise US interest rates at least twice by the end of 2023, according to a new poll of leading academic economists for the Financial Times.
The inaugural survey conducted by the FT and the Initiative on Global Markets at the University of Chicago’s Booth School of Business points to a potentially more hawkish path for monetary policy than indicated by the Fed’s chair, Jay Powell.
The economists’ views align closely with the “dot plot” of Fed officials’ own forecasts for when and how quickly rates will have to rise from their current level near zero, as the US economy rebounds from the pandemic and inflation runs ahead of the long-term average targeted by the Fed.
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