There is a market for sweeping economic analyses, generally predicting that the sky is about to fall on our heads. Thomas Malthus arguably started it with his 18th-century prediction that population growth would always run ahead of food production. He was unlucky in having his conjecture picked over for centuries. Normally, economists get away with it.
宏大的經濟分析——籠統地說，就是預言天就快要塌下來了——總有市場。托馬斯?馬爾薩斯(Thomas?Malthus)可以說開了先河，他在18世紀預言：人口增長總是快于糧食產量的增長。他就倒霉在幾百年來總有人拿他這個論斷說事。正常來說，經濟學家就算說錯了也不會有人追究。
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