Four days after the Brexit vote, I published a column headlined “I do not believe that Brexit will happen”. Almost two years later, I still sometimes get asked by wistful Remainers if I continue to think that Brexit will be stopped. In recent months, I have had to disappoint them.
The piece I wrote immediately after the vote made assumptions that did not work out. Boris Johnson did not become prime minister and then set about betraying his supporters. The EU did not make the UK a new offer on immigration.
Instead both the British government and the European Commission have marched determinedly down the Brexit road. So it now seems highly likely that Britain will indeed leave the EU on March 29 2019.
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